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 depth measure


Model-Free Kernel Conformal Depth Measures Algorithm for Uncertainty Quantification in Regression Models in Separable Hilbert Spaces

Matabuena, Marcos, Ghosal, Rahul, Mozharovskyi, Pavlo, Padilla, Oscar Hernan Madrid, Onnela, Jukka-Pekka

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties, the integration of depth measures into regression modeling to provide prediction regions remains a largely underexplored area of research. To address this gap, we propose a novel, model-free uncertainty quantification algorithm based on conditional depth measures--specifically, conditional kernel mean embeddings and an integrated depth measure. These new algorithms can be used to define prediction and tolerance regions when predictors and responses are defined in separable Hilbert spaces. The use of kernel mean embeddings ensures faster convergence rates in prediction region estimation. To enhance the practical utility of the algorithms with finite samples, we also introduce a conformal prediction variant that provides marginal, non-asymptotic guarantees for the derived prediction regions. Additionally, we establish both conditional and unconditional consistency results, as well as fast convergence rates in certain homoscedastic settings. We evaluate the finite--sample performance of our model in extensive simulation studies involving various types of functional data and traditional Euclidean scenarios. Finally, we demonstrate the practical relevance of our approach through a digital health application related to physical activity, aiming to provide personalized recommendations


A New Robust Multivariate Mode Estimator for Eye-tracking Calibration

Brilhault, Adrien, Neuenschwander, Sergio, Rios, Ricardo Araujo

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose in this work a new method for estimating the main mode of multivariate distributions, with application to eye-tracking calibrations. When performing eye-tracking experiments with poorly cooperative subjects, such as infants or monkeys, the calibration data generally suffer from high contamination. Outliers are typically organized in clusters, corresponding to the time intervals when subjects were not looking at the calibration points. In this type of multimodal distributions, most central tendency measures fail at estimating the principal fixation coordinates (the first mode), resulting in errors and inaccuracies when mapping the gaze to the screen coordinates. Here, we developed a new algorithm to identify the first mode of multivariate distributions, named BRIL, which rely on recursive depth-based filtering. This novel approach was tested on artificial mixtures of Gaussian and Uniform distributions, and compared to existing methods (conventional depth medians, robust estimators of location and scatter, and clustering-based approaches). We obtained outstanding performances, even for distributions containing very high proportions of outliers, both grouped in clusters and randomly distributed. Finally, we demonstrate the strength of our method in a real-world scenario using experimental data from eye-tracking calibrations with Capuchin monkeys, especially for distributions where other algorithms typically lack accuracy.